- Prime property values increased by 0.3% in Q3 2014, the slowest rate of growth in nearly two years
- Annual price growth in the country house market is 4.7%
- The number of sales completed so far this year is 8.4% higher than the same period of 2013
- But there are signs that momentum is easing. The number of new buyers registering fell by 9%
Prices rose for the seventh consecutive quarter between June and September, but there are signs that the market is slowing. Oliver Knight examines the latest figures.
Concerns over the introduction of a mansion tax, an impending interest rate rise and tighter mortgage lending meant that quarterly price growth in the country house market slowed to its lowest level in almost two years between June and September.
Prime property values increased by just 0.3% in the third quarter of 2014 while annual growth also slowed, to 4.7%.
Despite these concerns, there hasn’t been a noticeable impact on sales volumes and the total number of exchanges completed so far this year was 8.4% higher than the corresponding period last year. The rising number of exchanges suggests that underlying demand has remained strong.
However, there are signs that momentum is easing. While the number of property viewings was fairly steady during the three months to the end of September compared to the same period last year, the number of prospective buyers registering their interest in buying a prime country home fell by 9%.
Anecdotal evidence would suggest that concerns surrounding the possible introduction of a “mansion tax” on properties worth more than £2 million after next May’s general election are becoming more widespread among both prospective buyers and vendors.
Any further property tax would come on top of the large contribution purchasers of high value property already make in the form of stamp duty. Data for the 2013/14 tax year shows that across England & Wales over £1bn of the total £6.4bn tax take of stamp duty revenue was collected from the £2 million-plus price bracket alone.
Price growth over the last quarter was strongest in the South West, at 1%, followed by Yorkshire and the Humber. On an annual basis, prime homes in these areas have risen by 7.7% and 5.1% respectively.
Prime town and city markets across the UK have benefited from rising demand from those relocating from London and downsizers and price changes in urban locations have reflected this. Growth of 1.3% was seen in the three months to the end of September, while annual growth totalled 8.9%.
Rupert Sweeting, Head of Knight Frank Country, comments:
“As the statistics show there has been an increase in activity year on year which is indicative of the continuing low interest rates, prospering economy and general feel good factor. Early September saw a brief lull reflective of the Referendum outcome and discussions on Mansion tax but activity has returned signalling increased confidence and the fact buyers realise the Mansion tax proposals have not been thought through. Going forward with many house prices being readjusted, we will see a busy run up to Christmas”